We find greater agreement about a broader set of risks from AI over the next thousand years: the two groups gave median forecasts of
30% (skeptics) and 40% (concerned) that AI will have severe negative effects on humanity by causing major declines in population, very low self-reported well-being, or extinction.
Archives: Bookmarks
Results from the 2022 Existential Risk Persuasion Tournament — Forecasting Research Institute
The XPT, which ran from June through October of 2022, brought together forecasters from two groups with distinctive claims to knowledge about humanity’s future — experts in various domains relevant to existential risk, and “superforecasters” with a track record of predictive accuracy over short time horizons. We asked tournament participants to predict the likelihood of global risks related to nuclear weapon use, biorisks, and AI, along with dozens of other related, shorter-run forecasts.
Touching Masterpieces – Geometry Prague – YouTube
Beyond Tools: LLMs and the Emergence of Extended Cognition | Psychology Today
This mirroring effect is transformative in ways we’re only beginning to understand. When we engage with an LLM, we’re compelled to externalize our internal thought processes, making them more visible and, therefore, more amenable to refinement. Like a skillful conversation partner, the system prompts us to clarify our assumptions and elaborate on our logic, creating a feedback loop that leads to deeper understanding.
The case for human–AI interaction as system 0 thinking | Nature Human Behaviour
“The term system 0 is chosen deliberately to emphasize its foundational and pervasive role in modern cognition. Unlike the system 1 and system 2 (which operate within the individual mind), system 0 forms an artificial, non-biological underlying layer of distributed intelligence that interacts with and augments both intuitive and analytical thinking processes. This designation underscores its function as a preprocessor and enhancer of information, which actively shapes the inputs to traditional cognitive systems rather than simply extending them.”
diegogalpy/sChemNET
sChemNET: A deep learning framework for predicting small molecules targeting microRNA function.
microsoft/RD-Agent: Research and development (R&D) is crucial for the enhancement of industrial productivity, especially in the AI era, where the core aspects of R&D are mainly focused on data and models. We are committed to automating these high-value ge
RDAgent aims to automate the most critical and valuable aspects of the industrial R&D process, and we begin with focusing on the data-driven scenarios to streamline the development of models and data. Methodologically, we have identified a framework with two key components: ‘R’ for proposing new ideas and ‘D’ for implementing them. We believe that the automatic evolution of R&D will lead to solutions of significant industrial value.
[2409.16191] HelloBench: Evaluating Long Text Generation Capabilities of Large Language Models
Besides, we propose Hierarchical Long Text Evaluation (HelloEval), a human-aligned evaluation method that significantly reduces the time and effort required for human evaluation while maintaining a high correlation with human evaluation. We have conducted extensive experiments across around 30 mainstream LLMs and observed that the current LLMs lack long text generation capabilities. Specifically, first, regardless of whether the instructions include explicit or implicit length constraints, we observe that most LLMs cannot generate text that is longer than 4000 words. Second, we observe that while some LLMs can generate longer text, many issues exist (e.g., severe repetition and quality degradation). Third, to demonstrate the effectiveness of HelloEval, we compare HelloEval with traditional metrics (e.g., ROUGE, BLEU, etc.) and LLM-as-a-Judge methods, which show that HelloEval has the highest correlation with human evaluation.
Project CETI •– Home
CETI is a nonprofit organization applying advanced machine learning and state-of-the-art robotics to listen to and translate the communication of sperm whales. Our research focus is in Dominica in the Eastern Caribbean.